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ეროვნულმა ბანკმა რეფინანსირების განაკვეთი 8%-ზე დატოვა - რა რისკებს ხედავს სებ-ი?

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ეროვნულმა ბანკმა მორიგ ჯერზე რეფინანსირების განაკვეთი უცვლელად, 8%-ზე დატოვა. სებ-ი აღნიშნავს, რომ 2024 წლის დეკემბერში საქართველოში მიზნობრივ 3%-ზე დაბალი 1.9%-იანი ინფლაცია დაფიქსირდა, ხოლო 2025 წლის მეორე ნახევარში მოსალოდნელია, რომ ინფლაციამ წლიურ 3%-ს გადააჭარბოს, თუმცა შემდგომ წლის ჭრილში მაინც 3%-ის მიდამოში დასტაბილურება. თუმცა მაღალი გაურკვევლობის პირობებში, ეროვნული ბანკი მაღალინფლაციურ სცენარსაც განიხილავს, სადაც ინფლაციური წნეხი მზარდია. ეკონომისტების ნაწილი კი ამბობს, რომ შექმნილ არასტაბილურ ვითარებაში პესიმისტური სცენარის განვითარების ალბათობა მაღალია.

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